Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.407559 5.241855 6.169158 7.273135 8.548344 9.971686 11.677123
2025-09-07 3.174700 4.238720 5.542306 7.244018 9.392398 11.998905 15.383020
2025-09-14 2.309887 3.406410 4.865383 6.921134 9.710563 13.326757 18.325283
2025-09-21 1.826675 2.934971 4.517028 6.893332 10.314566 14.993921 21.792930
2025-09-28 1.479310 2.568796 4.225121 6.857232 10.846910 16.560008 25.219114
2025-10-05 1.321452 2.452298 4.265726 7.286468 12.063781 19.165542 30.302652
2025-10-12 1.153085 2.281246 4.184900 7.499958 12.954402 21.347654 34.927214
2025-10-19 1.032350 2.166672 4.172067 7.807552 14.005068 23.838548 40.191462
2025-10-26 0.887027 1.977441 3.998399 7.812671 14.547701 25.561062 44.374152
2025-11-02 0.731872 1.737352 3.693964 7.541840 14.582130 26.447844 47.265568
2025-11-09 0.606248 1.531128 3.418684 7.281330 14.593344 27.275666 50.093519
2025-11-16 0.530065 1.415624 3.301526 7.298990 15.095487 28.959956 54.453949
2025-11-23 0.463133 1.309687 3.192171 7.326160 15.632606 30.773731 59.218887
2025-11-30 0.397271 1.192078 3.039794 7.246309 15.956365 32.231609 63.468051
2025-12-07 0.324159 1.038521 2.781937 6.908940 15.734510 32.666893 65.908845
2025-12-14 0.281637 0.955925 2.672919 6.876917 16.119353 34.254875 70.548319
2025-12-21 0.244964 0.880615 2.568440 6.839630 16.485143 35.826277 75.250830
2025-12-28 0.235578 0.884146 2.660765 7.267498 17.877483 39.491591 84.141764
2026-01-04 0.216900 0.854473 2.662845 7.480375 18.819324 42.322873 91.590821
2026-01-11 0.203778 0.839668 2.701972 7.787224 19.994616 45.698450 100.292299
2026-01-18 0.180684 0.785295 2.624096 7.792320 20.486523 47.705004 106.399309
2026-01-25 0.151643 0.701395 2.447925 7.522111 20.314833 48.314116 109.733271
2026-02-01 0.127250 0.626794 2.284673 7.262204 20.137889 48.891502 113.025088